Back to Markets

Transparency

Our commitment to open, verifiable, and accountable markets.

Key Metrics

99.7%
Windows On Time
Target: ≥99.5%
0.8%
Avg Move at Standard Clip
Target: ≤1%
12%
Markets Hidden (Thin)
Target: Monitor
94.2%
Accuracy After Resolution
Target: ≥90%

Policies (Plain English)

Delays

Public odds are delayed 5 minutes to protect market integrity. This prevents front-running and ensures fair execution for all participants.

Minimum Crowd

Markets require minimum participation (10+ unique participants or $5k+ notional) before live odds are shown. Thin markets show daily summaries only.

Rounding

Published odds are rounded to the nearest percentage point. Full precision is available via API for qualified users.

When We Hide a Market

Markets are hidden when: (1) participation drops below minimum thresholds, (2) dispute is active, or (3) regulatory concerns arise. Users are notified 24h in advance when possible.

Monthly Letters

January 2025

Record volume, 3 new market categories, improved SLA metrics

Published 2025-01-31

December 2024

Year-end review, governance updates, Q1 2025 roadmap

Published 2024-12-31

November 2024

Election markets post-mortem, accuracy analysis

Published 2024-11-30

Recent Changes

Improvement

Reduced delay from 10m to 5m for flagship markets

2025-01-15
Feature

Added confidence bands to all market displays

2025-01-10
Policy

Updated minimum crowd threshold from 5 to 10 participants

2025-01-05
Feature

Launched receipt verification system

2024-12-20