R

Relic

Founder

Introducing VEIL: Privacy-Native Prediction Markets

March 15, 2024

After two years of building in stealth, I'm thrilled to finally share what we've been working on. VEIL is a prediction market platform that fundamentally reimagines how we can trade on real-world events while preserving privacy and resisting censorship. This isn't just another DeFi protocol—it's a response to the growing need for truly open, anonymous financial infrastructure.

The Problem We're Solving

When I first got into prediction markets in 2019, I was fascinated by their potential to aggregate information and create more accurate forecasts than traditional polling or expert analysis. But I quickly ran into walls. Centralized platforms could arbitrarily delist markets, freeze accounts, or manipulate outcomes. Even decentralized alternatives had issues—your trading positions were completely public, making you vulnerable to front-running and targeted attacks.

I remember placing a large bet on a political outcome and watching as bots immediately copied my position, driving up the price before I could finish my order. Or worse, seeing markets get shut down because they touched on "sensitive" topics. The promise of prediction markets—open access to information and the wisdom of crowds—was being undermined by these fundamental flaws.

Our Approach: Privacy First

VEIL is built on a simple principle: your trading activity is your business, not the world's. We use zero-knowledge proofs to let you place bets, execute trades, and claim winnings without revealing your positions to other traders or even to us. This isn't just about privacy for privacy's sake—it's about creating a fair market where information asymmetry doesn't automatically favor the biggest players.

We spent months working with cryptographers to design a system where trades are verifiable but not visible. Every transaction generates a proof that validators can check without seeing the actual trade details. It's like showing someone you have a winning lottery ticket without revealing the numbers—mathematically guaranteed, cryptographically secure.

Why Avalanche Subnets

We evaluated every major blockchain and scaling solution. Ethereum L2s, Cosmos zones, Polkadot parachains—we looked at them all. Avalanche subnets won because they give us the flexibility to customize our virtual machine for privacy features while maintaining the security and interoperability of the broader Avalanche ecosystem.

Our subnet runs a modified EVM that integrates zero-knowledge proof verification at the consensus layer. This means privacy isn't an afterthought or an application-layer hack—it's baked into the protocol itself. We can also set our own gas fee structure, which lets us subsidize certain operations to improve the user experience.

Market Resolution: The Hard Problem

The biggest challenge in prediction markets isn't the trading mechanism—it's determining who won. How do you fairly resolve "Will there be a recession in 2024?" when economists disagree on the definition? We've built a decentralized oracle system where multiple independent data providers submit outcomes, and validators reach consensus through economic incentives.

If there's a dispute, token holders can stake to challenge the outcome. The community votes, and the losing side forfeits their stake. This creates a game-theoretic equilibrium where honesty is the dominant strategy. We've run simulations with thousands of scenarios, and the system consistently converges on correct outcomes even with up to 30% malicious actors.

The VEIL Token

VEIL isn't just a governance token—it's the economic engine that makes the whole system work. Token holders vote on market parameters, oracle selection, and protocol upgrades. Stakers earn fees from trading activity and can participate in market resolution. We're also using VEIL to bootstrap liquidity through an airdrop for early users.

The tokenomics are designed for long-term sustainability. No team allocation unlocks for two years. No VC dumps. 40% goes to the community through airdrops and liquidity mining. We're building this for the long haul, not a quick exit.

What's Next

We're launching with a curated set of markets—politics, sports, crypto, and macro events. As the platform matures, we'll open up permissionless market creation where anyone can propose new markets and stake tokens to bootstrap liquidity. We're also working on mobile apps, advanced trading features like limit orders and stop losses, and integrations with other DeFi protocols.

This is just the beginning. Connect your wallet, whitelist for the airdrop, and start trading. We're building the future of prediction markets, and we want you to be part of it.